Hay fever has hit us all. There’s something about the sound of horse hooves on a dirt track and “My Kentucky Home.” And after Justify, the race-day favorite, won the 144th running of the Kentucky Derby, there’s the constant chatter wondering if can trot away with a second act. Jockeyed by Mike Smith and trained by Bob Baffert, the three-year-old won despite horrid track conditions, making history and breaking a 136-year-old curse by becoming the first horse since Apollo in 1882 to win as a three-year-old without racing as a two-year old.
Justify ran the third-fastest half mile in Derby history to lead the wettest race in race history at Churchill Downs.
So the odds for the Stakes are in his favor.
Let the rain fall down
Things will be a muddy mess at Pimlico Race Course on Saturday for the 143rd running of the Preakness Stakes. The rainy forecast at Pimlico may be the key to a repeat for Justify, who will race on another muddy track out of the same post (No. 7) the colt won the Derby out of just two weeks ago.
But only four horses from the 20-horse field at Churchill Downs will take the track at the Preakness. While Justify is listed as the 1-2 favorite, Good Magic will go off with 3-1 odds. Trained by Chad Brown and jockeyed by Jose Ortiz, Good Magic just couldn’t close the two-and-a-half-length gap with Justify at the Derby. The Derby runner-up is one to watch since he wasn’t originally scheduled to run Pimlico.
Then there’s Lone Sailor, who got in trouble early and finished eighth at Churchill Downs. The three-year-old will again break from the post next to Justify in Baltimore as a 15-1 shot.
Will we see a different WinStar Farm Winner?
Four times he has brought a Derby-winning horse to Pimlico. Four times that horse has won.
The son of Scat Daddy, Justify already showed two weeks ago what he could do on a rainy Saturday, keeping his career record at an unbeaten 4 for 4 and by a combined margin of 21 ½ lengths.
And while anything can happen on any given Saturday, add in a muddy track, and anything could go any colts way, like Quip, trained by Rodolphe Brisset and jockeyed by Floren Geroux and owned by WinStar Farm, who also co-owns Justify. While Quip skipped the Derby, he enter Pimlico at 12-1 odds.
Bet on Bob Baffert
Bob Baffert, Justify’s trainer, is looking for his seventh win in the Preakness. Four times he has brought a Derby-winning horse to Pimlico. Four times that horse has won.