Sure, it’s important to consider the odds. But the stories are even better.
We have Wimbledon fever over here. What could be better than relaxing on a hot summer day, watching the greatest players in the world in their summer whites, and enjoying a side of champagne and strawberries? Nothing, my friends. Nothing.
It’s a quiet season for many of the top sports, but the tennis drama is just heating up and there’s a lot to watch for as we head into the competition at the All England Club.
As of June 28, Bovada’s top odds to win the Gentlemen’s Singles competition are Federer +150, Nadal +500, and Djokovic +650. We also say you can’t overlook the crowd favorite, Andy Murray + 900.
If you are thinking of placing a bet on one of these gentlemen to win, here’s what you need to know:
Ranked number 2 in the world, Federer scored the top seed at Wimbledon and is the odds-on favorite to win. He holds eight championship trophies from his previous trips to the All England Club (‘03, ‘04, ‘05, ‘06, ‘07, ‘09, ‘12, ‘17). Notice that trophy gap between 2012 and 2017? There’s a story there.
For Federer, a born-and-raised Swiss, his 30s brought new challenges. After a lifetime of intense play, his body plagued him with injuries. And he has four young kids at home. Keen observers started to predict Federer’s retirement and life after tennis. However, in 2017 (after more than a year without a significant tennis victory) he won the Australian Open, securing the most ever major titles (18) for a tennis man.
He didn’t stop with the Australian open, though. Federer went on to win Wimbledon (his 19th Grand Slam title). One key ingredient to his success at Wimbledon was his decision to not compete during the French Open. Knowing clay to be his weakest surface, he sat out all of “clay season” and came into the summer season rested.
Federer repeated that pattern this year. He won his 20th Grand Slam at the Australian Open and sat out clay season. It worked brilliantly for him last year, but commentators note it’s a risk to not play competitively for such a long stretch.
Thinking back on all of his titles with GQ in 2017, Federer said, “You have a better perspective when you’re older… But sometimes you want it more because you know time isn’t on your side.”
Despite Federer’s number one seed at Wimbledon it’s hard not to feel as if we’re living in the Glory Days of Nadal. At 32 years old, he’s no kid on the court. And yet his 17th Grand Slam win at the French Open this year felt like another coin in the bucket.
Commentators praise Nadal’s calm demeanor and his ability to collect himself after every point and start fresh. He has a way of focusing only on the action immediately in front of him and playing that action well. And then he starts to accumulate: play after play after play. Whereas Federer might appear a mighty sail boat cutting through calm water, Nadal is more of a steam engine gaining on the land.
Over and over and over what you’ll hear about Nadal is that he’s the King of Clay. What you don’t hear about is his success on the lawn at Wimbledon. At Wimbledon, Nadal is more hit or miss. And, in recent years, a lot of miss. He won The Championship in ‘08 and ‘10. Since then, however, he’s struggled mightily. Nadal has not appeared in a Wimbledon final since 2011 and in many of the years since he’s lost matches early in the tournament to players ranked outside of the top 100.
Coming into Wimbledon this year, Nadal took an approach that feels much like Federer’s: rest. He canceled several of his warm ups on the grass courts and he says he is giving his knee injuries and other annoyances time to heal. Despite that, Nadal feels confident. He’s repeatedly told reporters that his dominance during clay season gives him the boost he needs.
He may not get the fanfare that Federer and Nadal command, but Djokovic is a serious contended at Wimbledon. First off, he brings winning experience. He took home The Championship’s trophy in ‘11, ‘14, and ‘15.
In fact, Djokovic’s won the 2011 final over Nadal (his last visit to the Wimbledon finals). And in ‘14 and ‘15? He beat Federer. Because he knows how to win against the best. He is one of the best.
Djokovic’s appearance at Wimbledon this year, though, had a bit of uncertainty wrapped up in it. After a tough loss to Marco Cecchinato in the French Open, Djokovic angrily told reporters, “I don’t know if I’m going to play on grass.” His anger likely stems from his 2017 elbow injury and his struggle to get back to 100 percent.
All struggles aside, Djokovic takes the long view of his career. At 31 he already faces questions about a potential retirement and he puts them to bed by indicating he plans to play well into his late 30s (and perhaps beyond). About his career he’s said, “If you ask me if that’s enough, I would say no… I’m not satisfied.”
Expect that fire to be on full display at the 2018 Wimbledon tournament.
In 2018, no conversation about Wimbledon’s Men’s Singles is complete without mention of hometown hero Andy Murray. He put his first Wimbledon win on the board in ‘13 to an overjoyed crowd and added another in ‘16. His victory in 2013 ended a 77 year drought for England and the crowd at the All England Club loves him.
This year has a heavy feel, though. After a year struggling with a hip injury, Murray underwent hip surgery in January. He indicated immediately following the surgery that his goal would be to heal well enough to return for the grasscourt season.
Expected to play his first grass match in early June in Holland, Murray pulled out of the Libema Open saying he was not yet ready. He kept watchers on the edges of their seats, but finally confirmed his bid for another Wimbledon title in mid-June.
Murray will have a tricky route to the finals in 2018 as his injury dropped his world ranking to 156. He will inevitably face one of the other powerhouses just to reach the finals. That being said, everyone loves the local and we think a good crowd vibe propels Murray.
So, who are going for to win it overall? Tell us over in the forum >>